# Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova: Set 1 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova: Set 1 Winner". Linda Noskova leads at 99%. Next is WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova at 62.5%. $62K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T20:50:13Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $62K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Linda Noskova | 99% | — | 99% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| Marta Kostyuk | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marta-kostyuk-vs-linda-noskova-set-1-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-kostyuk-noskova-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtasetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marta-kostyuk-vs-linda-noskova-set-1-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.