# Marterer vs Jones: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Marterer vs Jones". Marterer leads at 86.7%. Next is Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 at 76%. $2K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T19:43:41Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Marterer | 86.7% | 86.5% | 87% | 0.5 pts |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 76% | 76% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 64% | 64% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Ben Jones | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Drummondville: Maximilian Marterer vs Ben Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marterer-vs-jones
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-martere-jone-2026-11-15?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marterer-vs-jones

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.