# Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout". Above 1.7M leads at 98%. Next is Above 2.3M at 88%. $31K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:17:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $31K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 1.7M | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Above 2.3M | 88% | — | 88% | not on both |
| Above 2M | 85% | — | 85% | not on both |
| Above 1.9M | 77% | — | 77% | not on both |
| Above 2.1M | 60% | — | 60% | not on both |
| Above 1.8M | 57.5% | — | 57.5% | not on both |
| Above 2.2M | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| Above 2.5M | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| 2M-2.15M | 40% | 40% | — | not on both |
| 2.3M-2.45M | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| 2.15M-2.3M | 29.2% | 29.2% | — | not on both |
| Above 2.4M | 29% | — | 29% | not on both |
| 2.45M+ | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |
| Above 2.6M | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| 1.85M-2M | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| 1.55M | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| 1.7M-1.85M | 0.3% | 0.3% | — | not on both |
| 1.55M-1.7M | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Maryland State Board of Elections](https://elections.maryland.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/maryland-governor-general-election-voter-turnout
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/maryland-governor-election-turnout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermvoteturn?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/maryland-governor-general-election-voter-turnout

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.