# Maryland's 7th District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Maryland's 7th District margin of victory". Mfume, 51+ pts leads at 92.9%. Next is Mfume, 60+ pts at 89%. $31K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:16:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $31K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Mfume, 51+ pts | 92.9% | — | 92.9% | not on both |
| Mfume, 60+ pts | 89% | — | 89% | not on both |
| Mfume, 57+ pts | 79% | — | 79% | not on both |
| Democrat 65-70% | 64.5% | 64.5% | — | not on both |
| Mfume, 65+ pts | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Mfume, 63+ pts | 58% | — | 58% | not on both |
| Mfume, 72+ pts | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| Mfume, 54+ pts | 49.5% | — | 49.5% | not on both |
| Mfume, 66+ pts | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Mfume, 69+ pts | 36% | — | 36% | not on both |
| Democrat 70-75% | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 75-80% | 13.2% | 13.2% | — | not on both |
| Mfume, 75+ pts | 4.6% | — | 4.6% | not on both |
| Democrat 55-60% | 1.6% | 1.6% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 60-65% | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 40-50% | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 80%+ | 0.3% | 0.3% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 50-55% | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | not on both |
| Democrat 0-40% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Republican Wins | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Maryland State Board of Elections](https://elections.maryland.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/marylands-7th-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/md-07-house-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/marylands-7th-district-margin-of-victory

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.