# Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent". At least 30% leads at 99%. Next is At least 26% at 94%. $11K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:14:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $11K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 30% | 99% | 99% |
| At least 26% | 94% | 94% |
| At least 28% | 58.5% | 58.5% |
| At least 32% | 16% | 16% |
| At least 36% | 16% | 16% |
| At least 34% | 15% | 15% |
| At least 38% | 12% | 12% |
| At least 40% | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of the Commonwealth, Boston, MA](https://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/eleidx.htm).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/massachusetts-senate-election-john-deaton-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/massachusetts-senate-election-john-deaton-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
