# Massachusetts's 4th District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Massachusetts's 4th District margin of victory". Auchincloss, 23+ pts leads at 97.4%. Next is Auchincloss, 26+ pts at 97.4%. $2K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T21:54:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Auchincloss, 23+ pts | 97.4% | 97.4% |
| Auchincloss, 26+ pts | 97.4% | 97.4% |
| Auchincloss, 29+ pts | 97.4% | 97.4% |
| Auchincloss, 41+ pts | 94.7% | 94.7% |
| Auchincloss, 20+ pts | 89% | 89% |
| Auchincloss, 17+ pts | 49.8% | 49.8% |
| Auchincloss, 32+ pts | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| Auchincloss, 38+ pts | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| Auchincloss, 35+ pts | 49% | 49% |
| Auchincloss, 44+ pts | 48.7% | 48.7% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts](https://www.sec.state.ma.us).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/massachusettss-4th-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/massachusettss-4th-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.