# Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic". Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic leads at 69.5%. Next is Ognjen Milic at 56%. $8K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T18:43:20Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 17, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Ognjen Milic | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hikaru Shiraishi and Ognjen Milic in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Shiraishi' if Hikaru Shiraishi advances against Ognjen Milic.

This market will resolve to 'Ognjen Milic' if Ognjen Milic advances against Hikaru Shiraishi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/matsuyama-hikaru-shiraishi-vs-ognjen-milic
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-shirais-milic-2026-11-09?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/matsuyama-hikaru-shiraishi-vs-ognjen-milic

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.