# Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda". Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda leads at 62.5%. Next is Completed Match at 55%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T03:17:13Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 62.5% | 62.5% |
| Completed Match | 55% | 55% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda | 50% | 50% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Keisuke Saitoh and Renta Tokuda in the Matsuyama, Japan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Keisuke Saitoh' if Keisuke Saitoh advances against Renta Tokuda.

This market will resolve to 'Renta Tokuda' if Renta Tokuda advances against Keisuke Saitoh.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/matsuyama-keisuke-saitoh-vs-renta-tokuda
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-saitoh-tokuda-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/matsuyama-keisuke-saitoh-vs-renta-tokuda

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.