# Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama". Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama leads at 74%. Next is Completed Match at 53%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T23:48:03Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 74% | 74% |
| Completed Match | 53% | 53% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Matsuyama: Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama | 49.5% | 49.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Sho Katayama in the Matsuyama, Japan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:20PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Sho Katayama.

This market will resolve to 'Sho Katayama' if Sho Katayama advances against Maximus Jones.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/matsuyama-maximus-jones-vs-sho-katayama
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-jon-katayam-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/matsuyama-maximus-jones-vs-sho-katayama

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.