# Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend". Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend leads at 53.5%. Next is Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend at 52.5%. $4K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T23:18:25Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 50% | 50% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 47% | 47% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 38% | 38% |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend | 25% | 25% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Jay Dylan Friend.

This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/matsuyama-yu-hsiou-hsu-vs-jay-dylan-friend
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-hsu-friend-2026-11-12?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/matsuyama-yu-hsiou-hsu-vs-jay-dylan-friend

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.