# Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner". Carlos Alcaraz leads at 78%. Next is Matteo Berrettini at 22%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T14:53:00Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 78% | 78% |
| Matteo Berrettini | 22% | 22% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/matteo-berrettini-vs-carlos-alcaraz-set-1-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpsetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/matteo-berrettini-vs-carlos-alcaraz-set-1-winner

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.