# Mayot vs Shimabukuro: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Mayot vs Shimabukuro". Mayot leads at 54.5%. Next is Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 at 53.5%. $4K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:59:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Mayot | 54.5% | 53.5% | 55% | 1.5 pts |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Sho Shimabukuro | 46% | — | 46% | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 46% | 46% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro Game Spread +/-0.5 | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mayot-vs-shimabukuro
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-mayot-shimabu-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mayot-vs-shimabukuro

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.