# MBA Moscow vs. Avtodor: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "MBA Moscow vs. Avtodor". MBA Moscow leads at 82%. Next is Yes at 79%. $26K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T20:43:20Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 17, 2026
- Volume traded: $26K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MBA Moscow | 82% | — | 82% | not on both |
| Yes | 79% | 79% | — | not on both |
| Avtodor Saratov | 19% | — | 19% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [vtb-league.com](https://www.vtb-league.com/en/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [365 Scores](https://www.365scores.com/en-us/basketball/league/vtb-united-league-5450), [Sofascore](https://www.sofascore.com/basketball/tournament/russia/vtb-united-league/1438#id:80491), [Flashscore](https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/russia/vtb-united-league/#/zPOqkOQ1/standings/overall/).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming VTB United League game between MBA Moscow and Avtodor, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the MBA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "MBA Moscow".
If the Avtodor win, the market will resolve to "Avtodor".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mba-moscow-vs-avtodor
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bkvtb-mba-avt-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvtbgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mba-moscow-vs-avtodor

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
