# Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon: Method of Victory". Melquizael Costa by KO/TKO/DQ leads at 39.4%. Next is Melquizael Costa by Decision at 23.6%. $5K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T13:15:40Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Melquizael Costa by KO/TKO/DQ | 39.4% | 40% |
| Melquizael Costa by Decision | 23.6% | 24% |
| Melquizael Costa by Submission | 15.8% | 16% |
| Jared Gordon by Decision | 10.8% | 11% |
| Jared Gordon by KO/TKO/DQ | 7.9% | 8% |
| Draw/No Contest | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Jared Gordon by Submission | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/melquizael-costa-vs-jared-gordon-method-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/melquizael-costa-vs-jared-gordon-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.