# Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame". O/U 38.5 leads at 87.5%. Next is O/U 34.5 at 86.5%. $786K has traded across 225 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:06:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $786K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 38.5 | 87.5% | 87.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 34.5 | 86.5% | 86.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 36.5 | 85.5% | 85.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 40.5 | 81% | 81% | — | not on both |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% | 79% | — | not on both |
| O/U 44.5 | 78% | 78% | — | not on both |
| O/U 46.5 | 74% | 74% | — | not on both |
| Notre Dame | 70% | — | 70% | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-0.5) | 70% | 70% | — | not on both |
| O/U 48.5 | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-1.5) | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-2.5) | 66.5% | 66.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% | 64% | — | not on both |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-3.5) | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-4.5) | 57% | 57% | — | not on both |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| 1Q Spread: Notre Dame (-0.5) | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread -5.5 | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 12.5 | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 52.5 | 53.5% | 53.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 10.5 | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 14.5 | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) O/U 22.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) O/U 25.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) O/U 28.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) O/U 31.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 225 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/miami-fl-vs-notre-dame
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-mia-nd-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/miami-fl-vs-notre-dame

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.