# Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?". Yes leads at 20.5%. $3K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:15:00Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 20.5% | 20.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Barr formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Michael Barr must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. 

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/michael-barr-officially-out-as-fed-governor-by-december-31
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/michael-barr-officially-out-as-fed-governor-by-december-31?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/michael-barr-officially-out-as-fed-governor-by-december-31

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.