# Michigan St. vs Michigan: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Michigan St. vs Michigan". Michigan leads at 84%. Next is Spread: Michigan (-0.5) at 83%. $21K has traded across 215 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:09:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $21K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Michigan | 84% | — | 84% | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-0.5) | 83% | 83% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-1.5) | 82% | 82% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-2.5) | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-3.5) | 75.5% | 75.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-4.5) | 72.5% | 72.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-5.5) | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-6.5) | 68.5% | 68.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan O/U 23.5 | 67% | 67% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-7.5) | 63.5% | 63.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 35.5 | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-8.5) | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| O/U 37.5 | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Michigan (-10.5) | 57% | 57% | — | not on both |
| Michigan O/U 26.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan 1H O/U 16.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 215 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/michigan-st-vs-michigan
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-mst-mich-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/michigan-st-vs-michigan

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.