# Mississippi's 1st District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Mississippi's 1st District margin of victory". Kelly, 12+ pts leads at 99%. Next is Kelly, 15+ pts at 97.5%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:20:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Kelly, 12+ pts | 99% | 99% |
| Kelly, 15+ pts | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| Kelly, 18+ pts | 93.3% | 93.3% |
| Kelly, 21+ pts | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Kelly, 24+ pts | 2% | 2% |
| Kelly, 27+ pts | 2% | 2% |
| Kelly, 30+ pts | 2% | 2% |
| Kelly, 36+ pts | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Kelly, 33+ pts | 1% | 1% |
| Kelly, 39+ pts | 1% | 1% |
| Kelly, 42+ pts | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Mississippi Secretary of State](https://www.sos.ms.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mississippis-1st-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mississippis-1st-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.