# Mississippi's 3rd District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Mississippi's 3rd District margin of victory". Guest, 20+ pts leads at 95%. Next is Guest, 14+ pts at 92.6%. $3K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T21:54:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Guest, 20+ pts | 95% | 95% |
| Guest, 14+ pts | 92.6% | 92.6% |
| Guest, 11+ pts | 88% | 88% |
| Guest, 23+ pts | 55% | 55% |
| Guest, 17+ pts | 49.4% | 49.4% |
| Guest, 32+ pts | 49.3% | 49.3% |
| Guest, 35+ pts | 49.3% | 49.3% |
| Guest, 26+ pts | 34% | 34% |
| Guest, 29+ pts | 15% | 15% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Mississippi Secretary of State](https://www.sos.ms.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mississippis-3rd-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mississippis-3rd-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.