# Missouri presidential election winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Missouri presidential election winner?". Republican Party leads at 89.7%. Next is Democratic Party at 10.3%. $8K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:13:40Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2029
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Republican Party | 89.7% | 85.5% | 91% | 5.5 pts |
| Democratic Party | 10.3% | 13.5% | 9% | 4.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Missouri Secretary of State](https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/results), [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/missouri-presidential-election-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2028-presidential-election-missouri-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresstate?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/missouri-presidential-election-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.