# Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli: Go the Distance: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli: Go the Distance". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 88.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 69.5%. $18K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T23:48:03Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 88.5% | 88.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 69.5% | 69.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight goes the distance | 49.5% | 49.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 48.5% | 48.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight goes the distance | 47% | — | 47% | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 31.5% | 31.5% | — | not on both |
| Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli | 30.5% | 30.5% | — | not on both |
| Degli to win by KO/TKO? | 22% | 22% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Degli in Round 1 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Degli in Round 2 | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Raposo to win by KO/TKO? | 10.5% | 10.5% | — | not on both |
| Degli in Round 3 | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| Raposo in Round 1 | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Raposo in Round 2 | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Raposo in Round 3 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DAZN](https://www.dazn.com/en-US), [Tapology](https://www.tapology.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mitch-raposo-vs-marcos-degli-go-the-distance
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-mit2-mardeg-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcdistance?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mitch-raposo-vs-marcos-degli-go-the-distance

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.