# Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch". Kilian Feldbausch leads at 66%. Next is Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 at 50.5%. $3K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:21:41Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Kilian Feldbausch | 66% | — | 66% | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | 48% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Moeller | 33.8% | 33.5% | 34% | 0.5 pts |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 26% | 26% | — | not on both |
| Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Kilian Feldbausch Match O/U 21.5 | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Kilian Feldbausch in the Monastir, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Kilian Feldbausch.

This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Marvin Moeller.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/monastir-marvin-moeller-vs-kilian-feldbausch
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-moelle-feldbau-2026-11-15?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/monastir-marvin-moeller-vs-kilian-feldbausch

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.