# Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry". Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry leads at 61.5%. Next is Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry at 50.5%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 24, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T20:43:41Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 24, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 61.5% | 61.5% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 50% | 50% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 50% | 50% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 50% | 50% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 49% | 49% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 49% | 49% |
| Montevideo: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | 49% | 49% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Nicolas Jarry in the Montevideo, originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Nicolas Jarry.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jarry' if Nicolas Jarry advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/montevideo-matheus-pucinelli-de-almeida-vs-nicolas-jarry
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-almeida-jarry-2026-11-17?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/montevideo-matheus-pucinelli-de-almeida-vs-nicolas-jarry

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.