# Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?: prediction market odds

> Final prediction market prices for "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?". $2K has traded across 0 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Nov 5, 2026.

- Status: Trading has ended; prices are final
- Prices updated: unknown
- Closed: Nov 5, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026 (see: https://kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3.1 Pro by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3.1 Pro model weights are made publicly downloadable.

The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.

A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/moonshot-publishes-kimi-k31-pro-weights-by-november-4
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/moonshot-publishes-kimi-k3pt1-pro-weights-by-november-4?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/moonshot-publishes-kimi-k31-pro-weights-by-november-4

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.