# Mountain West Conference Championship Matchup: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Mountain West Conference Championship Matchup". New Mexico vs North Dakota St. leads at 48%. Next is New Mexico vs UNLV at 30%. $1K has traded across 45 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T05:50:03Z (7 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 7, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| New Mexico vs North Dakota St. | 48% | 48% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 30% | 30% |
| New Mexico vs Wyoming | 20% | 20% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 12% | 12% |
| Air Force vs North Dakota St. | 10% | 10% |
| Hawai'i vs North Dakota St. | 9% | 9% |
| Nevada vs North Dakota St. | 9% | 9% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 9% | 9% |
| North Dakota St. vs Northern Illinois | 9% | 9% |
| North Dakota St. vs San Jose St. | 9% | 9% |
| North Dakota St. vs UTEP | 9% | 9% |
| Air Force vs New Mexico | 6% | 6% |
| New Mexico vs San Jose St. | 6% | 6% |
| North Dakota St. vs Wyoming | 6% | 6% |
| Air Force vs Wyoming | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Nevada vs New Mexico | 5% | 5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 5% | 5% |
| Air Force vs Hawai'i | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Air Force vs Nevada | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Air Force vs Northern Illinois | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Air Force vs San Jose St. | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Hawai'i vs Nevada | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Hawai'i vs New Mexico | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Hawai'i vs Northern Illinois | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Hawai'i vs San Jose St. | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Hawai'i vs Wyoming | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nevada vs Northern Illinois | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nevada vs San Jose St. | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs Northern Illinois | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs UNLV | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs Wyoming | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| New Mexico vs Wyoming | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| North Dakota St. vs UTEP | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| North Dakota St. vs UTEP | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| North Dakota St. vs UTEP | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| North Dakota St. vs UTEP | 4.5% | 4.5% |

Showing the top 40 of 45 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/mountain-west-conference-championship-matchup
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafconfmatchup?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/mountain-west-conference-championship-matchup

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.