# NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship: Top 10 Finishers: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship: Top 10 Finishers". Sam Mayer leads at 62%. Next is Brandon Jones at 61%. $35K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T20:25:03Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $35K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sam Mayer | 62% | — | 62% | not on both |
| Brandon Jones | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| Brent Crews | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| Austin Hill | 60.5% | — | 60.5% | not on both |
| Justin Allgaier | 60.1% | 53.5% | 80% | 26.5 pts |
| Taylor Gray | 54.5% | — | 54.5% | not on both |
| Rajah Caruth | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| Sammy Smith | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Jesse Love | 41.8% | 17.7% | 66% | 48.3 pts |
| Corey Day | 41.3% | 17.1% | 65.5% | 48.5 pts |
| William Sawalich | 39.5% | — | 39.5% | not on both |
| Carson Kvapil | 35.6% | 8.1% | 63% | 54.9 pts |
| Parker Retzlaff | 31% | — | 31% | not on both |
| Ryan Sieg | 29% | — | 29% | not on both |
| Anthony Alfredo | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Harrison Burton | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |
| Jeremy Clements | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Dean Thompson | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| Sheldon Creed | 16.3% | 1.4% | 61% | 59.6 pts |
| Nick Sanchez | 12.5% | — | 12.5% | not on both |
| Jeb Burton | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Andrew Patterson | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Brennan Poole | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Kyle Sieg | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Patrick Staropoli | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Auto Parts: Will Rodgers to finish in the top 10 | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Brad Perez | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Brad Perez | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Josh Williams | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Lavar Scott | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Mason Maggio | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Preston Pardus | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Josh Bilicki | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Garrett Smithley | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Patrick Emerling | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Ryan Ellis | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Dawson Cram | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Joey Gase | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [nascar.com](https://www.nascar.com).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nascar.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nascar-oreilly-auto-parts-series-championship-top-10-finishers
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nascar-oreilly-auto-parts-series-champion-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascartop10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nascar-oreilly-auto-parts-series-championship-top-10-finishers

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.