# NBA: 2026-27 Player Efficiency Rating (PER) Leader: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Player Efficiency Rating (PER) Leader". Zach Edey leads at 49.7%. Next is Pascal Siakam at 48.5%. $3K has traded across 104 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 26, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T08:58:05Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 26, 2027
- Volume traded: $3K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Zach Edey | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| Pascal Siakam | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Nikola Jokic | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| Ivica Zubac | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Jalen Duren | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Mark Williams | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Victor Wembanyama | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 27% | 27% |
| Tyler Herro | 26.9% | 26.9% |
| Amen Thompson | 26.8% | 26.8% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Dejounte Murray | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Franz Wagner | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Austin Reaves | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| James Harden | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| James Harden | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| Kawhi Leonard | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| Alperen Sengun | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| Alex Sarr | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| Jalen Williams | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Josh Giddey | 26% | 26% |
| Lauri Markkanen | 26% | 26% |
| Brandon Miller | 26% | 26% |
| DeMar DeRozan | 25% | 25% |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24.7% | 24.7% |
| Norman Powell | 24.6% | 24.6% |
| Kevin Durant | 24.5% | 24.5% |
| Cameron Boozer | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Luka Doncic | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Jayson Tatum | 16% | 16% |
| Trae Young | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| Nikola Vucevic | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 13.8% | 13.8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Robert Williams III | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 9% | 9% |
| Kon Knueppel | 8.9% | 8.9% |

Showing the top 40 of 104 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [basketball-reference.com](https://www.basketball-reference.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest Player Efficiency Rating (PER) among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

Player Efficiency Rating (PER) is the per-minute productivity rating developed by John Hollinger, as calculated and published for the 2026-27 NBA regular season by Basketball-Reference.com. To qualify, a player must appear in at least 58 regular-season games. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined.

In the event of a tie for the highest PER (to one decimal place as published), this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more Win Shares during the 2026-27 NBA regular season, as published by Basketball-Reference.com. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available statistics for completed games, with the games-played requirement reduced to 70 percent of the games each player's team completed, rounded up.

If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which qualified player led the NBA in PER within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Basketball-Reference.com (https://www.basketball-reference.com/); however, if Basketball-Reference.com is unavailable, a consensus of credible statistical sources that publish PER by the same formula, such as ESPN, may be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nba-2026-27-player-efficiency-rating-per-leader
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-2026-27-per-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nba-2026-27-player-efficiency-rating-per-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.