# NBA: 2026-27 Steals Per Game Leader: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NBA: 2026-27 Steals Per Game Leader". Dyson Daniels leads at 37.2%. Next is Trey Murphy III at 25.7%. $18K has traded across 61 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 26, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-03T08:49:21Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Apr 26, 2027
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dyson Daniels | 37.2% | 22.9% | 42% | 19.1 pts |
| Trey Murphy III | 25.7% | 49.9% | 1.5% | 48.4 pts |
| Jalen Suggs | 22.5% | 41% | 4% | 37.0 pts |
| Dru Smith | 21.9% | 45.6% | 3% | 42.6 pts |
| Paul George | 15% | 44.9% | 5% | 39.9 pts |
| Ausar Thompson | 13.3% | 11.4% | 14% | 2.7 pts |
| Kris Dunn | 10.3% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 5.6 pts |
| Matisse Thybulle | 8% | 11.1% | 7% | 4.1 pts |
| Amen Thompson | 5% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 4.9 pts |
| De'Anthony Melton | 4.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Derrick White | 4.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Anthony Edwards | 4.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Dejounte Murray | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Fred VanVleet | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Jalen Johnson | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Jayson Tatum | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Jeremiah Fears | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Nikola Jokic | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 4.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 5.3 pts |
| Jimmy Butler III | 3.8% | 6% | 1.5% | 4.5 pts |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 3.8% | 6% | 1.5% | 4.5 pts |
| Immanuel Quickley | 3.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 4.0 pts |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 3.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Reed Sheppard | 3.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Scottie Barnes | 3.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 3.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Kawhi Leonard | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3% | 1.2 pts |
| Luka Doncic | 3.2% | 4% | 2.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Josh Hart | 3.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Cade Cunningham | 3.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Collin Gillespie | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2% | 2.3 pts |
| VJ Edgecombe | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2% | 1.5 pts |
| Marcus Smart | 3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3% | 0.2 pts |
| Luguentz Dort | 2.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Ryan Rollins | 2.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Ron Holland II | 2.9% | 4.7% | 1% | 3.7 pts |
| Jalen Brunson | 2.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Jalen Williams | 2.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Donovan Mitchell | 2.7% | 4% | 1.5% | 2.5 pts |

Showing the top 40 of 61 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [the Governing League](https://www.nba.com), [ESPN](https://espn.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest steals per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined.

In the event of a tie for the highest steals per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more total steals during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season.

If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in steals per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nba-2026-27-steals-per-game-leader
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-2026-27-spg-leader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbastatleader?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nba-2026-27-steals-per-game-leader

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.