# NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game". Miami Hurricanes leads at 93%. Next is Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 55.5%. $69K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:15:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $69K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Miami Hurricanes | 93% | 91.5% | 96% | 4.5 pts |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 55.5% | 50% | 61% | 11.0 pts |
| SMU Mustangs | 35% | 50% | 20% | 30.0 pts |
| Louisville Cardinals | 29.3% | 47.5% | 11% | 36.5 pts |
| Duke Blue Devils | 28% | 50% | 6% | 44.0 pts |
| Boston College Eagles | 27.5% | 50% | 5% | 45.0 pts |
| NC State Wolfpack | 27.5% | 50% | 5% | 45.0 pts |
| Clemson Tigers | 26.7% | 47.5% | 6% | 41.5 pts |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 26.5% | 49% | 4% | 45.0 pts |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 25.8% | 47.5% | 4% | 43.5 pts |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 25.5% | 50% | 1% | 49.0 pts |
| Stanford Cardinal | 25.5% | 50% | 1% | 49.0 pts |
| Syracuse Orange | 25.5% | 50% | 1% | 49.0 pts |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 24% | 47% | 1% | 46.0 pts |
| California Golden Bears | 23.8% | 46.5% | 1% | 45.5 pts |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 8.4% | 30.5% | 1% | 29.5 pts |
| Florida State Seminoles | 3.2% | 9.7% | 1% | 8.7 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 ACC Championship Game. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 ACC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 ACC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ACC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-acc-championship-game
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-acc-championship-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafaccqual?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-acc-championship-game

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.