# NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 MAC Championship Game: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 MAC Championship Game". Western Michigan Broncos leads at 57.8%. Next is Toledo Rockets at 48.3%. $17K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:10:40Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $17K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 57.8% | 49.5% | 66% | 16.5 pts |
| Toledo Rockets | 48.3% | 38.5% | 58% | 19.5 pts |
| Buffalo Bulls | 46.3% | 49.5% | 43% | 6.5 pts |
| Ohio Bobcats | 34.5% | 36% | 34% | 2.0 pts |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 28.3% | 47.5% | 9% | 38.5 pts |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 19% | 33.1% | 5% | 28.1 pts |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 7.8% | 10.5% | 5% | 5.5 pts |
| Kent St. | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| UMass | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Sacramento St. | 2.5% | — | 2.5% | not on both |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1% | 2.2 pts |
| Akron | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Ball St. | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 MAC Championship Game. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MAC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MAC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 MAC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MAC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mac-championship-game
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mac-championship-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafmacqual?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mac-championship-game

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.