# NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 Mountain West Championship Game: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 Mountain West Championship Game". New Mexico Lobos leads at 50%. Next is North Dakota State Bison at 50%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T04:21:05Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| New Mexico Lobos | 50% | 50% |
| North Dakota State Bison | 50% | 50% |
| UNLV Rebels | 50% | 50% |
| San José State Spartans | 50% | 50% |
| UTEP Miners | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 24.9% | 24.9% |
| Wyoming Cowboys | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Air Force Falcons | 11% | 11% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 1.5% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mountain West; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mountain-west-championship-game
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mountain-west-championship-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-mountain-west-championship-game

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.