# NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 SEC Championship Game: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 SEC Championship Game". Georgia Bulldogs leads at 92.8%. Next is Texas Longhorns at 51.5%. $30K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:23:41Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 6, 2026
- Volume traded: $30K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 92.8% | 91.5% | 94% | 2.5 pts |
| Texas Longhorns | 51.5% | 50% | 53% | 3.0 pts |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 49% | 50% | 48% | 2.0 pts |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 42.5% | 50% | 35% | 15.0 pts |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 25.8% | 50.5% | 1% | 49.5 pts |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 24% | 45% | 3% | 42.0 pts |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 20.6% | 25.5% | 19% | 6.5 pts |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 14.3% | 12.3% | 15% | 2.7 pts |
| Missouri Tigers | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11% | 2.6 pts |
| Auburn | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| LSU Tigers | 3.4% | 10.8% | 1% | 9.8 pts |
| Florida | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 SEC Championship Game. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 SEC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 SEC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 SEC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-sec-championship-game
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-sec-championship-game?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafsecq?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ncaa-football-team-to-qualify-for-2026-sec-championship-game

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.