# Nebraska Governor margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Nebraska Governor margin of victory". Republicans, 1+ pts leads at 98.9%. Next is Republicans, 4+ pts at 98%. $28K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:16:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $28K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 98.9% | — | 98.9% | not on both |
| Republicans, 4+ pts | 98% | — | 98% | not on both |
| Republicans, 7+ pts | 79% | — | 79% | not on both |
| Republican 5-10% | 75% | 75% | — | not on both |
| Democrat Wins | 26.6% | 26.6% | — | not on both |
| Republican 0-5% | 20.3% | 20.3% | — | not on both |
| Republican 10-15% | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| Republicans, 10+ pts | 4.9% | — | 4.9% | not on both |
| Republican 15-20% | 4.6% | 4.6% | — | not on both |
| Republican 35%+ | 3.2% | 3.2% | — | not on both |
| Republican 20-25% | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |
| Republicans, 13+ pts | 1.7% | — | 1.7% | not on both |
| Republican 25-30% | 1.4% | 1.4% | — | not on both |
| Republican 30-35% | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| Republicans, 19+ pts | 1.1% | — | 1.1% | not on both |
| Republicans, 25+ pts | 1.1% | — | 1.1% | not on both |
| Republicans, 22+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Republicans, 16+ pts | 1% | — | 1% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Nebraska Secretary of State](https://sos.nebraska.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nebraska-governor-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-governor-margin-of-victory-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nebraska-governor-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.