# Nebraska Senate winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Nebraska Senate winner?". Republican leads at 75.6%. Next is Dan Osborn at 26%. $7.6M has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-10-31T20:56:01Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $7.6M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Republican | 75.6% | 74.5% | 76% | 1.5 pts |
| Dan Osborn | 26% | — | 26% | not on both |
| Independent | 25.5% | 25.5% | — | not on both |
| Democratic | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nebraska-senate-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nebraska-senate-election-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/senatene?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nebraska-senate-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.