# Nevada Democratic Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Nevada Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)". Catherine Cortez Masto leads at 81.9%. Next is Cisco Aguilar at 2.3%. $18K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:15:40Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $18K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 81.9% | 78% |
| Cisco Aguilar | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Zach Conine | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Alexis Hill | 2.1% | 2% |
| Nicole Cannizzaro | 2.1% | 2% |
| Susie Lee | 2% | 1.9% |
| Chris Giunchigliani | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Dina Titus | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Steven Horsford | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Steve Sisolak | 1.7% | 1.6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Nevada State Democratic Party](https://nvdems.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nevada-democratic-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nevada-democratic-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.