# New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary winner?". Democratic Party leads at 75.5%. Next is Jon Ossoff at 24.4%. $15K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T12:45:41Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Democratic Party | 75.5% | 75.5% | — | not on both |
| Jon Ossoff | 24.4% | 23.5% | 27% | 3.5 pts |
| Republican Party | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18.3% | 19% | 18% | 1.0 pts |
| Rob Sand | 16.8% | 16.8% | — | not on both |
| Gavin Newsom | 8.8% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 9.4 pts |
| Pete Buttigieg | 7.5% | 8% | 6% | 2.0 pts |
| Andy Beshear | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5% | 3.6 pts |
| Josh Shapiro | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5% | 2.3 pts |
| Cory Booker | 5.6% | 5.6% | — | not on both |
| Michelle Obama | 5.2% | 5.2% | — | not on both |
| Stephen A. Smith | 5.1% | 5.1% | — | not on both |
| Rahm Emanuel | 4.8% | 4.8% | — | not on both |
| Roy Cooper | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Bernie Sanders | 3.7% | 3.7% | — | not on both |
| Raphael Warnock | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4% | 0.5 pts |
| Kamala Harris | 3.3% | 1.7% | 5% | 3.3 pts |
| Ro Khanna | 3.2% | 3.2% | — | not on both |
| Wes Moore | 3% | 3.4% | 2% | 1.4 pts |
| James Talarico | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2% | 0.3 pts |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Mark Kelly | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2% | 0.2 pts |
| Jon Stewart | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [New Hampshire Secretary of State](https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/new-hampshire-democratic-presidential-primary-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-presidential-democratic-primary-winner-202610280?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdpresprimary?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/new-hampshire-democratic-presidential-primary-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.