# New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 690K leads at 97%. Next is 700K-750K at 89.5%. $22K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:14:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $22K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 690K | 97% | — | 97% | not on both |
| 700K-750K | 89.5% | 89.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 720K | 51% | — | 51% | not on both |
| Above 560K | 50% | — | 50% | not on both |
| Above 1.01M | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| Above 1.05M | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| Above 840K | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| Above 880K | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| 750K-800K | 40.5% | 40.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 920K | 40.5% | — | 40.5% | not on both |
| Above 650K | 32% | — | 32% | not on both |
| Above 800K | 24% | — | 24% | not on both |
| Above 1.10M | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| Above 960K | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| 850K+ | 2.4% | 2.4% | — | not on both |
| 800K-850K | 1.5% | 1.5% | — | not on both |
| 650K-700K | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| 600K-650K | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| 550K | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| 550K-600K | 0.8% | 0.8% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [New Mexico Secretary of State](https://www.sos.nm.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/new-mexico-senate-general-election-voter-turnout
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-senate-election-turnout?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermvoteturn?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/new-mexico-senate-general-election-voter-turnout

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.