# New Mexico State House winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "New Mexico State House winner?". Democratic party leads at 98%. Next is Republican party at 2%. $6K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:02:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 2, 2027
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Democratic party | 98% | 99% |
| Republican party | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [New Mexico House of Representatives](https://www.nmlegis.gov/Members/Legislator_List?T=R), [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/new-mexico-state-house-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/new-mexico-state-house-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.