# New York State Assembly winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "New York State Assembly winner?". Democratic party leads at 99%. Next is Republican party at 1%. $33K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 20, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:01:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 20, 2027
- Volume traded: $33K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Democratic party | 99% | 99% |
| Republican party | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [New York State Assembly](https://nyassembly.gov/mem/), [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/new-york-state-assembly-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxstateleg?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/new-york-state-assembly-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.