# Newcastle vs Arsenal: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Newcastle vs Arsenal". Arsenal leads at 63%. Next is Newcastle United FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC at 49%. $27K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-08T18:12:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $27K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Arsenal | 63% | — | 63% | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 4 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 0 - 5 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 4 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 5 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 4 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 5 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 5 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 0 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 1 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 5 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 0 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 1 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 3 Arsenal FC | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 4 Arsenal FC | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 3 Arsenal FC | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle | 18% | — | 18% | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 4 Arsenal FC | 17% | 17% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 4 Arsenal FC | 5.5% | 5.5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 4 - 2 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 5 Arsenal FC | 5% | 5% | — | not on both |
| Newcastle United FC 5 - 2 Arsenal FC | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [premierleague.com](https://www.premierleague.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/newcastle-vs-arsenal
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-new-ars-2026-11-21-exact-score?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxeplgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/newcastle-vs-arsenal

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.