# Next CEO of NVIDIA?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Next CEO of NVIDIA?". Ian Buck leads at 25%. Next is Colette Kress at 14.4%. $3.4M has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T03:32:03Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $3.4M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ian Buck | 25% | 29.5% | 31% | 1.5 pts |
| Colette Kress | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18% | 1.2 pts |
| Rene Haas | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13% | 0.1 pts |
| Johny Srouji | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10% | 0.6 pts |
| Jensen Huang (No Change) | 4.4% | 5.2% | — | not on both |
| Jensen Huang | 4% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Tim Cook | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3% | 1.5 pts |
| Lisa Su | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3% | 0.3 pts |
| Nikesh Arora | 2.5% | 0.2% | 4% | 3.9 pts |
| Michael Kagan | 2% | 3.9% | 2% | 1.9 pts |
| Jay Puri | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2% | 0.9 pts |
| Eric Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2% | 0.1 pts |
| Nick Parker | 1.3% | 0.3% | 2% | 1.8 pts |
| Pat Gelsinger | 1.3% | 0.3% | 2% | 1.7 pts |
| Bill Dally | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Nico Caprez | 1% | 1.4% | 1% | 0.4 pts |
| Chris Malachowsky | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
| Madison Huang | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
| Debora Shoquist | 0.8% | 1% | 1% | 0.0 pts |
| Bret Taylor | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Bryan Catanzaro | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Cristiano Amon | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Harvey C. Jones | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Jeff Fisher | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Lip-Bu Tan | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Manuvir Das | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Matt Murphy | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Satya Nadella | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Stephen Neal | 0.8% | — | 1% | not on both |
| Curtis Priem | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Hock Tan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Jonah Alben | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Matt Garman | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1% | 0.7 pts |
| Spencer Huang | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5 pts |
| Thomas Kurian | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.4 pts |
| Emmett Shear | 0.4% | — | 0.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ABC](https://abcnews.go.com/), [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.

The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/next-ceo-of-nvidia
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-ceo-of-nvidia?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnvdaceo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/next-ceo-of-nvidia

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.