# Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?". External leads at 53.9%. Next is Internal at 39.2%. $14K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T18:12:40Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $14K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| External | 53.9% | 55% |
| Internal | 39.2% | 40% |
| No new permanent CEO | 6.9% | 7.1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to whether the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is an internal or external candidate.

A candidate is internal if, at the time of the announcement, they are an employee of NVIDIA Corporation or any of its subsidiaries, or a member of its Board of Directors. Any other candidate is external.

If co-CEOs are announced, this market will resolve to "External" if any of them is an external candidate.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If, before any successor is announced, NVIDIA officially announces that Jensen Huang will return as CEO on a non-interim basis, or if no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new permanent CEO".

The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/next-nvidia-ceo-internal-or-external
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-nvidia-ceo-internal-or-external?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/next-nvidia-ceo-internal-or-external

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.