# Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast". Orlando Bloom leads at 35%. Next is Keira Knightley at 27%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:19:52Z (16 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2029
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Orlando Bloom | 35% | 35% |
| Keira Knightley | 27% | 27% |
| Margot Robbie | 23% | 23% |
| Kevin McNally | 20% | 20% |
| Kaya Scodelario | 16% | 16% |
| Geoffrey Rush | 15% | 15% |
| Hailee Steinfeld | 15% | 15% |
| Javier Bardem | 13% | 13% |
| Penélope Cruz | 12% | 12% |
| Austin Butler | 11% | 11% |
| Ayo Edebiri | 11% | 11% |
| Bill Nighy | 11% | 11% |
| Brenton Thwaites | 11% | 11% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/), [MSNBC](https://www.msnbc.com/), [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/next-pirates-of-the-caribbean-movie-cast
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoviecast?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/next-pirates-of-the-caribbean-movie-cast

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.