# Next President of Paraguay?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Next President of Paraguay?". Pedro Alliana leads at 64.2%. Next is Miguel Prieto at 13.6%. $2K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T23:55:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 8, 2029
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Pedro Alliana | 64.2% | 71% |
| Miguel Prieto | 13.6% | 15% |
| Kattya González | 2.7% | 3% |
| Alberto Martínez Simón | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Basilio Núñez | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Celeste Amarilla | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Juan Carlos Baruja | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Lilian Samaniego | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Raúl Latorre | 2.2% | 2.5% |
| Yolanda Paredes | 2.2% | 2.5% |
| Arnoldo Wiens | 0.9% | 1% |
| Eduardo Nakayama | 0.9% | 1% |
| Luis Pettengill | 0.9% | 1% |
| Ricardo Estigarribia | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Presidency of the Republic of Paraguay](https://www.presidencia.gov.py/), [Honorable Cámara de Diputados del Paraguay](https://diputados.gov.py/), [Honorable Cámara de Senadores del Paraguay](https://www.senado.gov.py/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/next-president-of-paraguay
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxparaguaynext?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/next-president-of-paraguay

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.