# Nitto ATP Singles Finals Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Nitto ATP Singles Finals Winner". Carlos Alcaraz leads at 47.3%. Next is Alexander Zverev at 19.1%. $1K has traded across 8 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 7, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T15:43:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 7, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 47.3% | 52% |
| Alexander Zverev | 19.1% | 21% |
| Ben Shelton | 7.7% | 8.5% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Flavio Cobolli | 5.5% | 6% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 5% | 5.5% |
| Rafael Jodar | 5% | 5.5% |
| Arthur Fils | 4.5% | 5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nitto-atp-singles-finals-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatp?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nitto-atp-singles-finals-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.