# North Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "North Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". Ted Budd leads at 84.2%. Next is Mark Walker at 3.2%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T22:49:25Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Ted Budd | 84.2% | 84% |
| Mark Walker | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Richard Hudson | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Michael Whatley | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Dan Bishop | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Tim Moore | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Lara Trump | 2.1% | 2.2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [North Carolina Republican Party](https://www.ncgop.org/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/north-carolina-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/north-carolina-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.