# Nov 2026 temperature increase?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Nov 2026 temperature increase?". 1.30001 or above leads at 84.1%. Next is 1.24 to 1.30 at 5.3%. $1K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T18:04:05Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: climate

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 1.30001 or above | 84.1% | 95% |
| 1.24 to 1.30 | 5.3% | 6% |
| 1.17 to 1.23 | 3.5% | 4% |
| 1.03 to 1.09 | 2.7% | 3% |
| 1.10 to 1.16 | 2.6% | 3% |
| 1.02999 or below | 1.8% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/nov-2026-temperature-increase
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhmonthrange?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/nov-2026-temperature-increase

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.