# Ohio presidential election winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ohio presidential election winner?". Republican Party leads at 65.3%. Next is Democratic Party at 34.7%. $13K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T04:07:40Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2029
- Volume traded: $13K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Republican Party | 65.3% | 65.5% | 64% | 1.5 pts |
| Democratic Party | 34.7% | 34.5% | 35% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Ohio Secretary of State](https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/), [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ohio-presidential-election-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2028-presidential-election-ohio-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresstate?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ohio-presidential-election-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.