# Oregon Republican Senate nominee? (2028): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Oregon Republican Senate nominee? (2028)". Christine Drazan leads at 12.9%. Next is David Smith at 12.9%. $10K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T01:23:40Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2028
- Volume traded: $10K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Christine Drazan | 12.9% | 12.5% |
| David Smith | 12.9% | 12.5% |
| Jo Rae Perkins | 10.3% | 10% |
| Alek Skarlatos | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Ed Diehl | 10.2% | 10% |
| Cliff Bentz | 10.1% | 9.9% |
| Knute Buehler | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Brent Barker | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Chris Dudley | 6.9% | 6.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Oregon Republican Party](https://oregon.gop/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com), [Decision Desk HQ](https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/oregon-republican-senate-nominee-2028
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/oregon-republican-senate-nominee-2028

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.