# Oregon vs Michigan St.: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Oregon vs Michigan St.". Spread: Oregon (-0.5) leads at 86%. Next is Oregon at 85%. $22K has traded across 179 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 23, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T20:49:31Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 23, 2026
- Volume traded: $22K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Spread: Oregon (-0.5) | 86% | 86% | — | not on both |
| Oregon | 85% | — | 85% | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-1.5) | 77.5% | 77.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-2.5) | 76.5% | 76.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | 70.5% | 70.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-4.5) | 67.5% | 67.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-5.5) | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% | 65% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-6.5) | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 35.5 | 59% | 59% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-7.5) | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Spread: Oregon (-8.5) | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| O/U 37.5 | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Oregon O/U 23.5 | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |
| Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 179 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ncaa.com](https://www.ncaa.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/oregon-vs-michigan-st
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-mich-ore-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/oregon-vs-michigan-st

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.